INDIAN COMMODITY MARKET OUTLOOK- 23 JANUARY 2014

INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARK ended its third consecutive session of gains with benchmarks ending at their highest closing levels in 2014, led by buying in RIL, Sun Pharma and ICICI Bank. The banking stocks remained uncertain as traders and investors preferred to remain on the sidelines ahead of the RBI monitory policy meet scheduled to be held on 28 January.

Further, Larsen & Toubro Ltd has posted a net profit of Rs. 12407.00 million for the quarter ended December 31, 2013. Shares of Torrent Pharmaceuticals surged over 7.5% after the company reported 41% increase in consolidated net profit for the third quarter ended December 31, 2013.

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COMMODITY MARKET TREND - 22 JANUARY 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: Nickel rose for a second day to the highest level in almost three months as the International Monetary Fund boosted its global economic growth forecast and amid concern Indonesia’s ban on ore exports will cut supply.
CS COPPER (FEB.) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:451
SUP2:443
RESIST1:463
RESIST2:468
TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
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ENERGY WRAP: Brent crude rose for the first time in four days after the International Energy Agency raised its forecast for global oil consumption on a strengthening economy. West Texas Intermediate reached at a two-week high. Natural gas futures jumped to the highest price in almost four weeks as a winter storm bringing heavy snow and frigid weather to the East Coast stoked demand for the heating fuel.
CS CRUDE (FEB.) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:5875
SUP2:5829
RESIST1:5971
RESIST2:6016
TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
CAPITALSTARS.COM +919200099927

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold rebounded from the biggest decline in three weeks as investors weighed signs of strengthening physical demand against the outlook for reduced monetary stimulus in the U.S.

CS GOLD (FEB.) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:29130
SUP2:28860
RESIST1:29450
RESIST2:29640
TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
CAPITALSTARS.COM +919200099927

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: CPI q/q, Monetary Policy Statement, BOJ Press Conference, Claimant Count Change, MPC Asset Purchase Facility Votes, MPC Official Bank Rate Votes, Unemployment Rate, BOC Monetary Policy Report, BOC Rate Statement, Overnight Rate, BOC Press Conference.
CS SILVER (MARCH) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:43560
SUP2:42430   
RESIST1:45740
RESIST2:46700
TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
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INDIAN COMMODITY MARKET OUTLOOK- 22 JANUARY 2014

INDIAN BENCHMARKS  turned flat after making a lower opening tracking weak Asian cues.HDFC, L&T, Dabur India, Biocon, Mahindra & Mahindra Financial Services, Raymond, Zee Entertainment Enterprises will announce their third quarter earnings today.

FURTHER, P&G Home Products will borrow Rs15bn in the form of inter-company loan, the firm has said amid efforts to catch up with market leader Hindustan Unilever. Shares of Torrent Pharma were up over 10% after the company posted better-than-expected earnings for the third quarter ended December 2013.

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net sellers of Rs.43cr in the cash segment on Tuesday while the domestic institutional investors (DIIs) were net buyers of Rs. 181cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

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COMMODITY MARKET TREND - 21 JANUARY 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: Copper fluctuated as investors awaited direction from Chinese manufacturing data and the U.S. unemployment figures later this week.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate crude fell amid speculation a slowing economy in China will reduce fuel demand in the country, the world’s second-biggest oil consumer. Natural gas dropped for a second day in New York on speculation that milder weather in the U.S. will reduce demand for heating fuel.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold fell, snapping three days of gains that lifted prices to the highest level in almost six weeks, as investors assessed the impact of the rally on demand while the dollar strengthened.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: CPI q/q, German ZEW Economic Sentiment, Manufacturing Sales m/m, Wholesale Sales m/m.

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INDIAN COMMODITY MARKET OUTLOOK- 21 JANUARY 2014

INDIAN BENCHMARKS opened marginally higher tracking their peers in Asia. Few results like Colgate Palmolive, Ashok Leyland, Tata Coffee results will be in focus today. Reliance Industries Ltd is planning to start production of natural gas from coal seams, called coal-bed methane in Madhya Pradesh from 2015-16.

FURTHER, NTPC appears determined not to clear dues of Rs20bn to the Coal India without third-party sampling of coal, indicating a protracted tussle ahead over the quality of coal that had led to a stand-off between the two companies for much of last year. Asian Paints fell after consolidated net profit fell 1.75% to Rs 329.35 crore on 13.03% rise in total income to Rs 3481.99 crore in Q3 December 2013 over Q3 December 2012.

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net buyers of Rs.384cr in the cash segment on Monday while the domestic institutional investors (DIIs) were net sellers of Rs. 310cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

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INDIAN BENCHMARKS rose, snapping a two-session losing streak.

INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARKS rose, snapping a two-session losing streak, as software services exporters gained after Wipro posted solid earnings and joined domestic rivals in giving a positive outlook for the sector. UltraTech Cement Ltd has posted a net profit of Rs. 3697.60 million for the quarter ended December 31, 2013 as compared to Rs. 6008.10 million for the quarter ended December 31, 2012.

Further, Goldman Sachs initiates coverage on Indian power co with a "buy" rating on Power Grid, saying the sector could benefit from recent reforms, although the magnitude of power tariff hikes could be the biggest risk. Biocon rose 3.17% to Rs 495.55 after the company said it will start selling a cancer drug, developed jointly with US-based Mylan, in the country from next month.

The crucial resistance for Nifty is now seen at 6330 and above this 6365. Support for the immediate term is now placed at 6230 and next support will be 6185.

News to watch:

·      Watch out for the quarterly earnings of  L&T on 22^ND Jan.

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INDIAN COMMODITY MARKET OUTLOOK- 20 JANUARY 2014

INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARKS gained strength after early range bound trade. Shares of Aurobindo Pharma jumped 5 percent on acquisition plan. The generic drug maker has signed a binding offer agreement to acquire commercial operations of Dublin-based Actavis in seven Western European countries.

FUTHER, Wipro shares gained nearly 4 percent post third quarter earnings. The company expects IT services revenue in range of USD 1,712-1,745 million in the quarter ended March 2014. Reliance Industries Ltd shares fall 1.1 percent after the company’s October-December quarter profit, out on Friday, when adjusted for other income, was seen lagging expectations.

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net buyers of Rs. 75cr in the cash segment on Friday while the domestic institutional investors (DIIs) were net buyers of Rs. 141cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

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COMMODITY MARKET TREND - 20 JANUARY 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: Copper fluctuated before the release of China’s industrial production and gross domestic output data. Nickel headed for its first decline in seven days.

ENERGY WRAP: Natural gas dropped for a second day in New York on speculation that unusually mild weather in the U.S. will reduce demand for heating fuel. West Texas Intermediate crude slid from the highest closing price in two weeks after government data showed that industrial output slowed last month in China, the world’s second-biggest oil consumer.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold rallied to the highest level in almost six weeks on signs of increasing demand as holdings in the biggest exchange-traded product expanded the most since 2011. Platinum climbed on prospects for strikes in South Africa.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: GDP q/y, Bank Holiday.

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INDIAN BENCHMARKS ended on a lower note.

INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARKS ended on a lower note after the rupee hit over five week low against the US Dollar. Banking heavyweight HDFC Bank came out with its quarterly numbers which came in better than market expectation. The bank posted a 25% increase in net profit to Rs. 23.26bn from Rs. 18.59bn a year ago. Federal Bank reported 9 percent growth in profit after tax and 9.71 percent in net interest income for the quarter ended December 2013 compared to a year ago period

Further, TCS shares crashed 5 percent post lower-than-expected revenues and margin in the quarter ended December 2013. ITC Quarterly net profit rose more than 16 percent year-on-year to Rs 2,385 crore led by huge rise in other income. Revenues jumped 13 percent to Rs 8,623 crore in the quarter ended December 2013 as against Rs 7,627 crore in a year ago period

The crucial resistance for Nifty is now seen at 6330 and above this 6365. Support for the immediate term is now placed at 6230 and next support will be 6190.



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COMMODITY MARKET TREND - 17 JANUARY 2014

INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARKS extended losses in early deals as profit taking in TCS and financials weighed on the indices. Reliance Industries gained 1.17% ahead of its Q3 numbers expected today. Shares of Mindtree slides 7 percent intraday after it announced December quarter earnings. Net profit fell 31 percent sequentially to Rs 88.5 crore in the quarter ended December 2013 as it reported forex loss of Rs 27.2 crore.

FUTHER, Indian Oil Corporation has surged 4% to Rs 222 after a ministerial panel approved selling 10% government stake in the oil marketing company to Oil and Natural Gas Corp (ONGC) and OIL India.

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net buyers of Rs. 479cr in the cash segment on Thursday while the domestic institutional investors (DIIs) were net sellers of Rs. 791cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

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INDIAN COMMODITY MARKET OUTLOOK- 17 JANUARY 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: Copper futures declined on Thursday, as market players looked ahead to key U.S. economic data later in the day for further indications on the future course of monetary policy.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate crude headed for the first weekly gain since December amid speculation that U.S. unemployment and manufacturing data signaled the world’s biggest oil consumer will sustain its economic growth.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold was set to halt three weeks of gains as speculation that the Federal Reserve will continue reducing monetary stimulus in the U.S. countered signs of increased physical demand.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Retail Sales m/m, Building Permits, Housing Starts, Capacity Utilization Rate, Industrial Production m/m, Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment, Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations, JOLTS Job Openings.

..........Bullion Commodity Market Update..........

CS COPPER (FEB.) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:451
SUP2:443
RESIST1:462
RESIST2:468
TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE

CS CRUDE (JAN.) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:5710
SUP2:5640
RESIST1:5880
RESIST2:5935
TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS

CS GOLD (FEB.) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:28800
SUP2:28670
RESIST1:29315
RESIST2:29640
TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE

CS SILVER (MARCH) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:43560
SUP2:42430   
RESIST1:45740
RESIST2:46700
TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE

............Agri Commodity Market Update..............

CS CHANA (FEB.) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:3015
SUP2:2950
RESIST1:3164   
RESIST2:3194
TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS

CS JEERA (MARCH) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:12360
SUP2:12270
RESIST1:12950
RESIST2:13540
TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE

CS TURMERIC (APRIL) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:6510
SUP2:6370
RESIST1:6940
RESIST2:7250
TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE

CS SOYABEAN (FEB.) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:3600
SUP2:3530
RESIST1:3752
RESIST2:3792
TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE

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INDIAN BENCHMARKS fell after earlier marking their highest levels.

INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARKS fell after earlier marking their highest levels in five weeks as mobile carriers such as Idea Cellular slumped on possible high bidding prices at a spectrum auction next month after eight companies applied to bid. Shares of HCL Tech gained after they reported a net profit of Rs 1,496 crore. Axis Bank, the country's third largest private sector lender, reports a 19 percent growth in third quarter net profit to Rs 1,604.11 crore.

Further, Bajaj Auto Ltd has posted a net profit after tax of Rs. 9045.50 million for the quarter ended December 31, 2013 as compared to Rs. 8187.40 million for the quarter ended December 31, 2012. Shares in Ranbaxy Laboratories gained as reports the company has partnered with an unnamed multinational drug maker. Specialty Restaurants jumped 6% to Rs 135.50 after the company said it has incorporated a joint venture company with Al-Mohannadi Group in Doha.

The crucial resistance for Nifty is now seen at 6360 and above this 6415. Support for the immediate term is now placed at 6295 and next support will be 6265.

News to watch:

·         Watch out for the quarterly earnings of Wipro, Reliance and Federal Bank on 17th Jan.

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INDIAN COMMODITY MARKET OUTLOOK- 16 JANUARY 2014

INDIAN trimmed some of their early gains on profit taking at higher levels after stocks surged to five week highs on Wednesday after sharp decline in December WPI raised hopes that the RBI would continue to maintain status quo on key policy rates. Shares of HCL Tech trading higher by 2% at Rs 1,366 after it posted a Q2 consolidated net profit of Rs 1,496 crore, up 5.7% q-o-q and 58.4% y-o-y. Consolidated revenue came it at Rs 8,184 crore, up 2.8% q-o-q and 30.4% y-o-y.

FUTHER, TCS was marginally up ahead of its third quarter earnings scheduled to be announced later today. Shares of Bharti Airtel, Idea Cellular and Reliance Communication are succumbing to selling pressure as the telecom operators applied for spectrum auction slated for February 3.

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net buyers of Rs. 713cr in the cash segment on Wednesday while the domestic institutional investors (DIIs) were net sellers of Rs. 690cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

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COMMODITY MARKET TREND - 16 JANUARY 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: Copper prices advanced in London on speculation that an improving global economy will increase demand. Nickel rose to a 10-week high on concern that supplies will tighten as Indonesian bans ore exports.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate traded near the highest price in two weeks after government data showed crude inventories fell to the lowest level since March 2012 in the U.S., the world’s biggest oil consumer. Natural gas futures declined from a two-week high in New York on forecasts for milder weather that would limit demand for the heating fuel.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold held a two-day decline from the highest level in a month on speculation that the U.S. economy is strong enough for the Federal Reserve to continue reducing asset purchases, boosting the dollar.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Employment Change, Unemployment Rate, Core CPI m/m, Unemployment Claims, CPI m/m, Treasury Sec Lew Speaks, TIC Long-Term Purchases, Philly Fed Manufacturing Index, NAHB Housing Market Index, Natural Gas Storage, Fed Chairman Bernanke Speaks, SNB Chairman Jordan Speaks.

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COMMODITY MARKET TREND - 15 JANUARY 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: Nickel rose in London, capping the biggest three-session rally since August, on concern that global supplies will tighten during a ban on exports from Indonesia, the world’s biggest producer of the mined ore.
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ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate swung between gains and losses amid speculation U.S. crude stockpiles declined and signs the world’s biggest oil consumer will sustain its economic growth.
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PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold dropped for a second day from the highest level in a month as the rally reduced demand amid speculation that the U.S. Federal Reserve will continue reducing asset purchases.
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GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: PPI m/m, Core PPI m/m, Empire State Manufacturing Index, BOE Gov Carney Speaks, Crude Oil Inventories.        Free Trials 

 Bullion Commodity Trends

 CS COPPER (FEB.) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:453           SUP2:451
RESIST1:460        RESIST2:462
TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE

CS CRUDE (JAN.) OVERVIEW:
TREND BEARISH
SUP1:5640          SUP2:5570
RESIST1:5750       RESIST2:5790
TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE

CS GOLD (FEB.) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:28800        SUP2:28670
RESIST1:29315     RESIST2:29640
TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS

CS SILVER (MARCH) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:43560        SUP2:42430  
RESIST1:45740     RESIST2:46700
TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS

Agri commodity market updates

 CS CHANA (FEB.) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:3015 ,       SUP2:2950
RESIST1:3164    ,RESIST2:3194
TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS

CS JEERA (MARCH) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:12360      ,SUP2:12270
RESIST1:12950    RESIST2:13540
TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE

CS TURMERIC (APRIL) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:6510          SUP2:6370
RESIST1:6940      RESIST2:7250
TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE

CS SOYABEAN (FEB.) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:3600         SUP2:3530
RESIST1:3710      RESIST2:3752
TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE.

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INDIAN COMMODITY MARKET OUTLOOK- 15 JANUARY 2014

INDIAN BENCHMARKS have started the trading session on higher note tracking positive global cues. Traders will eye December wholesale price inflation to be announced today which is seen at 7% and considered to be key ahead of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI)'s rate review on January 28. Software exporters such as Tata Consultancy Services Ltd gain on optimism ahead of quarterly results on Thursday.

FUTHER, Shares of Coal India were up 2% at Rs 296 after board has approved a special dividend for the current financial year. Liberty Shoes lost 4% to Rs 148, with the stock sliding on profit taking after recent gains after net profit rose 82.48% to Rs 3.23 crore in Q3 December 2013 over Q3 December 2012.

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net seller of Rs. 260cr in the cash segment on Tuesday while the domestic institutional investors (DIIs) were net sellers of Rs. 97cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

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COMMODITY MARKET TREND - 14 JANUARY 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: Indonesia’s ban on mineral ore exports will cut nickel supplies while allowing Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc. (FCX) to keep exporting copper concentrates. Nickel and the rupiah rallied, while shares of Nickel Asia Corp. (NIKL), which accounts for about a third of Philippine output, climbed.
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ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate crude swung between gains and losses amid speculation U.S. fuel stockpiles increased for a third week, signaling slowing demand in the world’s biggest oil consumer. Natural gas increased for a third day on speculation the U.S. government will report a record drop in stockpiles after last week’s cold weather.
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PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold fluctuated after advancing to a one-month high as investors assessed the impact of the rally on demand. Platinum climbed to the highest level in two months on concern that miners in South Africa may strike over wages.
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GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Federal Budget Balance, NZIER Business Confidence, CPI y/y, NFIB Small Business Index, Core Retail Sales m/m, Retail Sales m/m, Import Prices m/m, Business Inventories m/m, FOMC Member Plosser Speaks, FOMC Member Fisher Speaks.
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 Bullion Commodity Trends

CS COPPER (FEB.) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:453
SUP2:451
RESIST1:462
RESIST2:467
TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE
Share Market tips
CS CRUDE (JAN.) OVERVIEW:
TREND BEARISH
SUP1:5570
SUP2:5490
RESIST1:5750
RESIST2:5790
TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE
Share Market tips
CS GOLD (FEB.) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:28900
SUP2:28670
RESIST1:29280
RESIST2:29640
TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
Share Market tips
CS SILVER (MARCH) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:43560
SUP2:42430   
RESIST1:45740
RESIST2:46700
TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
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