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Thursday, 30 January 2014

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COMMODITY MARKET TREND - 31 JANUARY 2014

 BASE METAL WRAP: Copper futures fell to a seven-week low on Thursday, after data confirmed a contraction in China’s manufacturing sector and following the Federal Reserve’s decision to taper its monthly bond-buying program by USD10 billion for the second consecutive meeting.
CS SILVER (MARCH) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:42400
SUP2:42000  
RESIST1:43860
RESIST2:44500
TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE
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ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate crude traded near the highest price this year, heading for a third weekly gain, as increased spending by U.S. consumers boosted the economy of the world’s biggest oil user. Natural gas extended its biggest decline in more than four years amid forecasts for milder weather in the U.S.
CS GOLD (FEB.) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:29250
SUP2:28965
RESIST1:29850
RESIST2:29985
TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE
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PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold headed for the first weekly loss since December as signs of faster U.S. economic growth increased bets that the Federal Reserve will keep cutting stimulus and a decline in emerging markets eased.
CS CRUDE (FEB.) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:6070
SUP2:6040
RESIST1:6200
RESIST2:6272
TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
CAPITALSTARS.COM +919200099927

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Trade Balance, RBNZ Gov Wheeler Speaks, PPI q/q, CPI Flash Estimate y/y, GDP m/m, Core PCE Price Index m/m, Employment Cost Index q/q, Personal Spending m/m, Personal Income m/m, Chicago PMI, Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment, Revised UoM Inflation Expectations, FOMC Member Fisher Speaks.
CS COPPER (FEB.) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:445
SUP2:443
RESIST1:450
RESIST2:454
TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE
CAPITALSTARS.COM +919200099927

INDIAN COMMODITY MARKET OUTLOOK- 30 JANUARY 2014

INDIAN BENCHMARK opening following weak global cues after the Federal Reserve announced another $10 billion cut in its monthly bond purchases. Also, volatility is likely to be the order of the day ahead of January F&O expiry due today.

FURTHER,
December 31, 2013 (Q3), on back of higher sales. The company had recorded loss of Rs 189 crore in the same quarter year ago. Gail Ltd reported a net profit of Rs. 16.79 bn for the quarter ended December 31, 2013 as compared to Rs. 12.85 bn for the quarter ended December 31, 2012.

Trend in FII flows:
The FIIs were net buyers of Rs.250cr in the cash segment on Wednesday while the domestic institutional investors (DIIs) were net buyers of Rs. 16cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

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Wednesday, 29 January 2014

COMMODITY MARKET TREND - 30 JANUARY 2014

 pricingBASE METAL WRAP: Copper futures fell, capping the longest slump in 15 months, on speculation that rising borrowing costs in emerging markets will damp economic growth, eroding demand for industrial metals.
CS CHANA (FEB.) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:2850
SUP2:2790
RESIST1:2970
RESIST2:3030
TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE
CAPITALSTARS.COM +919200099927


ENERGY WRAP:
Natural gas is poised for its biggest monthly gain in more than four years, with frigid weather forecast to pull down U.S. stockpiles. West Texas Intermediate rose, trimming the biggest monthly decline for January since 2010, as demand for distillate fuel countered a second weekly increase in U.S. crude stockpiles.
CS JEERA (MARCH) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:12270
SUP2:12180
RESIST1:12480
RESIST2:12560
TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
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PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold held the biggest advance in a week on concern that a rout in emerging-market assets may deepen, fueling demand for a haven as the U.S. Federal Reserve further reduced the pace of asset purchases.
CS TURMERIC (APRIL) OVERVIEW:
TREND BULLISH
SUP1:7200
SUP2:6950
RESIST1:7650
RESIST2:7710
TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
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GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: FOMC Statement, Official Cash Rate, RBNZ Rate Statement, Advance GDP q/q, Unemployment Claims, Advance GDP Price Index q/q, Pending Home Sales m/m, Natural Gas Storage.
CS SOYABEAN (FEB.) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:3785
SUP2:3715
RESIST1:3915
RESIST2:3950
TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
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Tuesday, 28 January 2014

COMMODITY MARKET TREND - 29 JANUARY 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: Copper futures slipped for a fifth straight session as buying slowed in China ahead of the Lunar New Year and investors awaited the outcome of a two-day U.S. central-bank meeting.
CS COPPER (FEB.) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:445
SUP2:443
RESIST1:454
RESIST2:462
TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE
CAPITALSTARS.COM +919200099927

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate retreated from the highest price in four weeks after an industry report showed crude stockpiles increased in the U.S., the world’s biggest oil consumer. Natural gas dropped for a second day this week as prices swung between gains and losses amid freezing weather across the U.S.
CS CRUDE (FEB.) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:6040
SUP2:6000
RESIST1:6135
RESIST2:6174
TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
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PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold headed for the longest losing streak in almost six weeks amid expectations that stimulus will be cut further as the U.S. Federal Reserve decides on monetary policy. Platinum was set for the longest slump since June.
CS GOLD (FEB.) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:29250
SUP2:28960
RESIST1:29610
RESIST2:29710
TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE
CAPITALSTARS.COM +919200099927

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: President Obama Speaks, BOE Gov Carney Speaks, Crude Oil Inventories.
CS SILVER (MARCH) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:43560
SUP2:42430   
RESIST1:44650
RESIST2:45650
TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE
CAPITALSTARS.COM +919200099927

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INDIAN COMMODITY MARKET OUTLOOK- 29 JANUARY 2014

INDIAN BENCHMARKS rebound in trades today and make a positive opening tracking firm global cues. Bharti Airtel today reported Q3 net profit of Rs 610 crore. Consolidated net sales stood at Rs 21,939 crore. The company reported consolidated EBITDA of Rs 7093 crore and EBIT margins of 32.3%.

FURTHER, JSW Steel Ltd has posted a net profit after Tax, Minority Interest & Share of Profit / (Losses) of Associates of Rs. 4664.90 mn for the quarter ended December 31, 2013.NTPC Ltd has posted a net profit of Rs. 28612.80 mn for the quarter ended December 31, 2013 as compared to Rs. 25967.60 million for the quarter ended December 31, 2012.

Trend in FII flows:
The FIIs were net sellers of Rs.1267cr in the cash segment on Tuesday while the domestic institutional investors (DIIs) were net buyers of Rs. 1178cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

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INDIAN BENCHMARKS ended flat, amid a volatile trading session.

INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARKS ended flat, amid a volatile trading session, shrugging of the surprise move by the central bank which hiked the repo rate by 25 bps to 8% in its third quarter monetary policy review today. The Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) was kept unchanged at 4% of Net Demand and Time Liabilities (NDTL). JSW Steel Ltd has posted a net profit after Tax, Minority Interest & Share of Profit of Associates of Rs. 4664.90 mn for the quarter ended December 31, 2013 whereas the same was at net loss of Rs. (737.00) mn for the quarter ended December 31, 2012.

Further, Maruti Suzuki surpassed street expectations with the third quarter net profit rising 36 percent year-on-year, driven by strong operational performance, higher localization and favorable forex. Jindal Steel & Power has posted a net profit after tax, of Rs. 5615.10 mn for the quarter ended December 31, 2013 as compared to Rs. 8672.70 mn for the quarter ended December 31, 2012.

The crucial resistance for Nifty is now seen at 6165 and above this 6190. Support for the immediate term is now placed at 6065 and next support will be 6030.

 

News to watch:


·         Watch out for the quarterly earnings of ICICI Bank, Bharti Airtel, Havells & GAIL India on 29th Jan.

!!! Happy Reading !!!

Monday, 27 January 2014

COMMODITY MARKET TREND - 28 JANUARY 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: Copper futures regained strength on Monday to bounce off a six-week low, as a broadly weaker U.S. dollar boosted the appeal of the industrial metal.
 CS COPPER (FEB.) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:451
SUP2:443
RESIST1:462
RESIST2:468
TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE
CAPITALSTARS.COM +919200099927

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate crude fell for a second day as purchases of new U.S. homes missed forecasts, raising concern that fuel demand may slow in the world’s leading consumer of oil. Natural gas futures plunged in New York, declining from the highest price in almost four years, as forecasts showed mostly normal weather on the East Coast in early February.
CS CRUDE (FEB.) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:6000
SUP2:5930
RESIST1:6135
RESIST2:6174
TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
CAPITALSTARS.COM +919200099927

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold held a decline from the highest level in more than two months as the U.S. Federal Reserve was expected to trim stimulus just as physical demand in Asia slows before the Lunar New Year. Platinum snapped a three-day drop.
CS GOLD (FEB.) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:29450
SUP2:29390
RESIST1:29890
RESIST2:30015
TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
CAPITALSTARS.COM +919200099927

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: NAB Business Confidence, Prelim GDP q/q, Core Durable Goods Orders m/m, Durable Goods Orders m/m, S&P/CS Composite-20 HPI y/y, CB Consumer Confidence, Richmond Manufacturing Index.  
CS SILVER (MARCH) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:43560
SUP2:42430   
RESIST1:45740
RESIST2:46700
TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
CAPITALSTARS.COM +919200099927

INDIAN COMMODITY MARKET OUTLOOK- 27 JANUARY 2014

INDIAN BENCHMARKS dives 2 pct; biggest decline since September.


INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARKS recorded their highest percentage fall since September 3, 2013, amid a selloff in emerging markets, with Interest rate sensitive stocks extended fall in last hour of trade, especially ahead of RBI's third quarter monetary policy review on Tuesday. Allahabad Bank reported 4.8 percent growth in net profit and 0.6 percent growth in net interest income year-on-year.

Further, HUL reported stable numbers with the third quarter net profit growing 22 percent year-on-year supported by strong operational performance. Net profit increased to Rs 1,062.3 crore from Rs 871.4 crore.  Telecom shares ended lower after the Empowered Group of Ministers on telecom, announced that the Subscriber Usage Charge for new spectrum will be a maximum of 5% of adjusted gross revenue.

The crucial resistance for Nifty is now seen at 6190 and above this 6270. Support for the immediate term is now placed at 6100 and next support will be 6065.


News to watch:

1.       Watch out for the quarterly earnings of JSW Steel, Sesa Sterlite, & Maruti Suzuki on 28th Jan.

2.       Watch out for the RBI Third Quarter Review Policy on 28th Jan.

Happy Reading!!!

Sunday, 26 January 2014

COMMODITY MARKET TREND - 27 JANUARY 2014

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 BASE METAL WRAP: Nickel declined for a third day on speculation that Indonesia, the top producer from mines, may not impose a complete ban on ore shipments, easing supply concern.
CS COPPER (FEB.) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:451
SUP2:443
RESIST1:462
RESIST2:468
TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
CAPITALSTARS.COM +919200099927

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate sustained its biggest weekly gain of the year as freezing temperatures in the U.S. boosted demand for heating oil. Natural gas rose for a fifth day and was poised for the highest close in almost four years as freezing weather in the U.S. boosted demand for heating fuel.
CS CRUDE (FEB.) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:6000
SUP2:5930
RESIST1:6135
RESIST2:6174
TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
CAPITALSTARS.COM +919200099927

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP:
Gold rallied to a two-month high, extending the longest run of weekly gains since September 2012, as a rout in emerging-market assets fueled demand for a haven.
CS GOLD (FEB.) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:29450
SUP2:29390
RESIST1:29890
RESIST2:30015
TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
CAPITALSTARS.COM +919200099927

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH:
German Ifo Business Climate, Flash Services PMI, New Home Sales.
CS SILVER (MARCH) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:43560
SUP2:42430  
RESIST1:45740
RESIST2:46700
TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
CAPITALSTARS.COM +919200099927
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indore,India,January 27,2014-(capitalstars.com)

Friday, 24 January 2014

INDIAN COMMODITY MARKET OUTLOOK- 25 JANUARY 2014

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INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARK break a four-day winning streak with rate sensitive leading the decline after comments from Reserve Bank of India Governor Raghuram Rajan that inflation is a destructive disease which is forcing the central bank to keep interest rates high.
Further, Bajaj Finance is targeting to raise Rs25bn through a fixed deposit scheme in the next three years to strengthen its nascent wealth management business.
Canara bank slipped as the bank stock turned ex-dividend, for the interim dividend of Rs 6.50 per share for the year ending 31 March 2014.

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Thursday, 23 January 2014

COMMODITY MARKET TREND - 24 JANUARY 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: 

Industrial metals retreated as manufacturing data from China, the world’s biggest consumer, fell below economists’ expectations. Lead dropped for a second day as nickel declined from the highest level in three months.
CS CHANA (FEB.) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:3015
SUP2:2950
RESIST1:3090
RESIST2:3164
TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE
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ENERGY WRAP: 

West Texas Intermediate crude rose for a fifth day and headed for the biggest weekly advance since December after a government report showed U.S. distillate-fuel stockpiles declined. Natural gas rose for a fourth day in New York and headed for the biggest weekly gain since September 2012 as meteorologists predicted U.S. temperatures will remain below normal through the end of this month.
CS JEERA (MARCH) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:12440
SUP2:12360
RESIST1:12950
RESIST2:13540
TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE
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PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: 

Gold retreated from a six-week high, paring the longest weekly rally since September 2012, as investors assessed whether the U.S. Federal Reserve will keep reducing stimulus.
CS TURMERIC (APRIL) OVERVIEW:
TREND BULLISH
SUP1:6950
SUP2:6820
RESIST1:7150
RESIST2:7250
TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
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GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: 

WEF Annual Meetings, Core CPI m/m.
CS SOYABEAN (FEB.) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:3800
SUP2:3715
RESIST1:3842
RESIST2:3915
TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
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INDIAN COMMODITY MARKET OUTLOOK- 24 JANUARY 2014

INDIAN BENCHMARKS open in negative note owing to muted global cues. Bajaj Finance targeting to raise Rs25bn through a fixed deposit scheme in the next three years to strengthen its nascent wealth management business.

FURTHER, Shares of Ranbaxy Laboratories hit 16% lower circuit at Rs348 after FDA prohibited Ranbaxy’s Toansa, India facility from producing and distributing drugs for the U.S. market. Cairn India fell after the company's consolidated profit after tax fell 14% to Rs 2884 crore on 17% growth in revenue to Rs 5000 crore in Q3 December 2013 over Q3 December 2012.

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net buyers of Rs.433cr in the cash segment on Thursday while the domestic institutional investors (DIIs) were net sellers of Rs. 393cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

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Wednesday, 22 January 2014

COMMODITY MARKET TREND - 23 JANUARY 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: Industrial metals retreated as manufacturing data from China, the world’s biggest consumer, fell below economists’ expectations. Lead dropped for a second day as nickel declined from the highest level in three months.
CS COPPER (FEB.) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:451
SUP2:443
RESIST1:462
RESIST2:468
TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
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ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate crude rose to a three-week high on speculation that U.S. distillate fuel supplies slid as falling temperatures bolstered heating demand.
CS CRUDE (FEB.) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:5920
SUP2:5825
RESIST1:6095
RESIST2:6174
TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
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PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold dropped to a two-week low, heading for the longest losing streak in a month, as expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve will keep reducing stimulus outweighed signs of physical demand in China.
CS GOLD (FEB.) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:28860
SUP2:28670
RESIST1:29450
RESIST2:29640
TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
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GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH:
HSBC Flash Manufacturing PMI, French Flash Manufacturing PMI, German Flash Manufacturing PMI, Flash Manufacturing PMI, CBI Realized Sales, Core Retail Sales m/m, Retail Sales m/m, Unemployment Claims, Flash Manufacturing PMI, HPI m/m, Existing Home Sales, CB Leading Index m/m, Natural Gas Storage, Crude Oil Inventories.
CS SILVER (MARCH) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:43560
SUP2:42430   
RESIST1:45740
RESIST2:46700
TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
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