COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 31 JULY 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: London copper was underpinned on Thursday by indications that the U.S. Federal Reserve is not hurrying to raise interest rates, even as the world's top economy logged robust second quarter growth that brightened the outlook for demand.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate crude dropped to a two-week low after a government report showed that U.S. gasoline supplies gained as demand slipped.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold retreated for a fourth day to head for a monthly decline as further signs that the U.S. recovery is gaining momentum strengthened the case for higher borrowing costs in the world’s largest economy.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Building Approvals m/m, CPI Flash Estimate y/y, Challenger Job Cuts y/y, GDP m/m, Unemployment Claims, Employment Cost Index q/q, Chicago PMI, Natural Gas Storage.

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COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 30 JULY 2014

BASE METAL WRAP:  

Copper prices slipped on Tuesday, as prospects of growing supplies overshadowed encouraging signs of health in the global economy, and zinc retreated after hovering near three-year highs on expectations of a tightening market.

ENERGY WRAP: 

West Texas Intermediate crude traded near the lowest price in two weeks before government data that may signal the strength of fuel consumption in the U.S., the world’s biggest oil user. Brent fell in London.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: 

Gold traded near the lowest level this week and was poised for a monthly decline as signs that U.S. economic growth is gaining momentum countered haven demand from increased tension in Ukraine and Gaza.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: 

German Prelim CPI m/m, ADP Non-Farm Employment Change, Advance GDP q/q, Advance GDP Price Index q/q, Crude Oil Inventories, FOMC Statement, Federal Funds Rate.

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Markets open flat; L&T down over 6%

ITC, Bharti Airtel, Infosys and Reliance Industries among the top gainers

After opening in red, the benchmark indices moved into the green territory on account of gains in heavyweights like ITC, Bharti Airtel, Infosys and Reliance Industries.

At 0920 hrs, the Sensex was up nine points at 25,999 and the Nifty was unchanged at 7749.

The broader markets were flat with a positive bias.

Sectors & Stocks

On the sectoral front, Capital Goods index was the top loser down 4% along with Realty and Metal indices down 0.4% each.
A 6% cut on L&T dragged the capital goods index lower as the performance of engineering and construction major’s core business in the June quarter disappointed the Street, as execution remained weak in the domestic business.
Apart from L&T, Sesa Sterlite, Hindustan Unilever, Tata Steel, BHEL, Maruti Suzuki and Sun Pharma were some of the notable names in red, down 0.2-2%.
Among the gainers was Bharti Airtel up 4% after reporting 61% year-on-year jump in consolidated net profit at Rs 1,108 crore for the first quarter.

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COMMODITY MARKET OUTLOOK 28 JULY 2014

 Agri Commodity Market

CS CHANA (AUGUST) OVERVIEW:
TREND  CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:2795
SUP2:2740
RESIST1:2900
RESIST2:2926
TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE
WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000

CS JEERA (AUGUST) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:11250
SUP2:11000
RESIST1:11620
RESIST2:11780
TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE
WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000

CS TURMERIC (AUGUST) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:6420
SUP2:6316
RESIST1:6600
RESIST2:6700
TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000

CS SOYABEAN (OCTOBER) OVERVIEW:
TREND  CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:3660
SUP2:3600
RESIST1:3750
RESIST2:3860
TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE
WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000

bullion Commodity market

CS COPPER (AUG) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:430
SUP2:425       
RESIST1:437
RESIST2:440
TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000

CS CRUDE (AUGUST) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:6090
SUP2:6010
RESIST1:6230
RESIST2:6300
TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE
WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000

CS GOLD (AUG) OVERVIEW:   
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:27550
SUP2:27300
RESIST1:28100
RESIST2:28400
TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000

CS SILVER (SEPTEMBER) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:43600
SUP2:42900   
RESIST1:44800
RESIST2:45300
TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE
WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000

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COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 28 JULY 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: 

Copper dropped for a second day after Freeport-McMoRan Inc. received approval from Indonesia to resume exports from its Grasberg mine.

ENERGY WRAP: 

West Texas Intermediate crude fell for the fourth time in five days amid speculation that economic data may signal slowing growth in the U.S., the world’s biggest oil consumer. Brent also dropped in London.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: 

Hedge funds increased their bets on a gold rally, just before prices fell for a second week as an accelerating U.S. economy outweighed concern that violence between Russia and Ukraine will escalate.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: 

Flash Services PMI, Pending Home Sales m/m.

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COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 25 JULY 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: Copper futures rallied to a more than one-week high on Thursday, as investors cheered better than expected manufacturing data out of China, the world’s largest consumer of the red metal.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate headed for the third weekly decline this month amid speculation that rising U.S. gasoline stockpiles signal reduced demand in the world’s biggest oil consumer. Brent was steady in London.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold headed for its second straight weekly decline as the outlook for improving economic growth curbed demand for the precious metal as a haven.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: ANZ Business Confidence, German Ifo Business Climate, Prelim GDP q/q, Core Durable Goods Orders m/m, Durable Goods Orders m/m.

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COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 24 JULY 2014

BASE METAL WRAP:  

Copper climbed for a fourth day, the longest rally in three weeks, on better-than-expected manufacturing data from China, the world’s largest user of industrial metals.

ENERGY WRAP: 

West Texas Intermediate swung between gains and losses after U.S. government data showed crude supplies at the delivery point for New York contracts shrank to the lowest level since 2008. Brent was steady in London.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: 

Gold fell to the lowest level in a week as a rally in equities damped demand for an alternative investment amid concern that physical consumption is faltering.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH:  

Official Cash Rate, RBNZ Rate Statement, Trade Balance, HSBC Flash Manufacturing PMI, French Flash Manufacturing PMI, German Flash Manufacturing PMI, Retail Sales m/m, Unemployment Claims, Flash Manufacturing PMI, New Home Sales, Natural Gas Storage.

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COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 23 JULY 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: 

Zinc and aluminium prices hit their highest in more than a year as investors sought exposure to commodities with improved fundamentals, but copper's gains were curbed by worries over China's property sector and over a build-up of stocks.

ENERGY WRAP: 

West Texas Intermediate crude fell for a second day after an industry report showed gasoline supplies expanded in the U.S., the world’s biggest oil consumer. Brent was steady in London.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: 

Gold traded below the highest level in more than three months as investors assessed U.S. economic data that strengthened the dollar and boosted equities, damping demand for an alternative investment.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH:  

CPI q/q, MPC Asset Purchase Facility Votes, MPC Official Bank Rate Votes, BOE Gov Carney Speaks, Core Retail Sales m/m, Crude Oil Inventories.

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COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 22 JULY 2014

BASE METAL WRAP:  

Aluminum entered a bull market in London and traded near the highest in 16 months on speculation demand will exceed supply for the metal used in everything from cars to packaging.

ENERGY WRAP: 

West Texas Intermediate rose for a second day before stockpile data that may signal the strength of fuel demand in the U.S., the world’s biggest oil consumer. Brent also increased in London. Natural gas futures slipped in New York to the lowest price in more than seven months as meteorologists predicted mild weather, which would curtail demand from power plants and help narrow a stockpile deficit.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: 

Gold traded below the highest level in more than three months as the dollar strengthened amid the outlook for higher U.S. borrowing costs, countering haven demand fueled by tension in Ukraine and Gaza.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: 

Core CPI m/m, CPI m/m, HPI m/m, Existing Home Sales, Richmond Manufacturing Index, CPI q/q, Trimmed Mean CPI q/q.

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