COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 25 JULY 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: Copper futures rallied to a more than one-week high on Thursday, as investors cheered better than expected manufacturing data out of China, the world’s largest consumer of the red metal.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate headed for the third weekly decline this month amid speculation that rising U.S. gasoline stockpiles signal reduced demand in the world’s biggest oil consumer. Brent was steady in London.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold headed for its second straight weekly decline as the outlook for improving economic growth curbed demand for the precious metal as a haven.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: ANZ Business Confidence, German Ifo Business Climate, Prelim GDP q/q, Core Durable Goods Orders m/m, Durable Goods Orders m/m.

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INDIAN BENCHMARK record highs after Cabinet approval

INDIAN BENCHMARK record highs after Cabinet approval for a higher foreign direct investment limit in insurance and a rejig in foreign debt limits reinforced optimism about the government's reform agenda.

FURTHER, SKS Microfinance reported a flat net profit at Rs 49.3 crore in the April-June quarter over the year-ago period. The company had reported a net profit of Rs 49.69 crore during the same period last year. Tata Steel raised USD 1.5 billion (about Rs 9,000 crore) in a dual tranche bond sale in the international market, making it the largest such deal by the Tata group firm.

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net buyers of Rs 192cr in the cash segment on Thursday while the DIIs were net seller of Rs. 290cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

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INDIAN BENCHMARKS hit record high on FDI hike in insurance.

INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARKS rose to a record high for a second straight session after cabinet approval for a higher FDI limit in insurance and a reorganization in foreign debt limits reinforced optimism about the government's reform agenda.

·         Further, Wipro has announced the results for the quarter ended June 30, 2014 net profit of the company rose by 54.49% to Rs 2067.20 crore Vs Rs 1338.00 crore YoY. Total Income increased by 18.62% to Rs 10574.50 crore Vs Rs 8914.30 crore YoY.

·         Ambuja Cements has announced results for the quarter ended June 30, 2014 net profit of the company rose by 26.06% to Rs 408.70 crore Vs Rs 324.20 crore YoY. Total Income increased by 16.61% to Rs 2858.14 crore Vs Rs 2450.91 crore YoY.

The crucial resistance for Nifty is now seen at 7850 and above this 7880. Support for the immediate term is now placed at 7770 and next support will be 7750.

 

NEWS TO WATCH:

·         Watch out Quarterly Earnings of Allahabad bank, Indian Bank, Just Dial, Kalindee Rail , PNB, UCO bank, Colgate, LIC Hsg Finance, Shriram Transport Finance  25^TH July 2014.

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TOP CORPORATE NEWS

·        TVS Motor Q1 misses estimates, profit up 39% to Rs 72.3 cr

TVS Motor Company missed street expectations with the first quarter April-June net profit rising 39.3 percent at Rs 72.3 crore compared to Rs 51.9 crore in the year-ago period impacted by higher expenses.

·        ACC LTD Q2 profit misses forecast, falls 7%

ACC Ltd second quarter (April-June quarter) net profit falling 7 percent at Rs 241 crore compared to Rs 259.1 crore in same quarter last fiscal on account of higher total expenses.

·        DHFL Q1 net profit up 22.5% at Rs 147.2 cr

Dewan Housing Finance Corporation April-June quarter Q1FY15 net profit rose by 22.5 percent at Rs 147.2 crore against Rs 120 crore in the same quarter last fiscal.   Total Income jumped from Rs 1,107.4 crore to Rs 1,426.6 crore, Y-o-Y, a growth of 29 percent.

·        Liberty Shoes dips on weak Q1 numbers

Liberty Shoes lost 6% after the company’s net profit surged 1% to Rs 3 crore on 10% decline in total income from operations to Rs 102 crore in Q1 June 2014 over the same period last year.

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COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 24 JULY 2014

BASE METAL WRAP:  

Copper climbed for a fourth day, the longest rally in three weeks, on better-than-expected manufacturing data from China, the world’s largest user of industrial metals.

ENERGY WRAP: 

West Texas Intermediate swung between gains and losses after U.S. government data showed crude supplies at the delivery point for New York contracts shrank to the lowest level since 2008. Brent was steady in London.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: 

Gold fell to the lowest level in a week as a rally in equities damped demand for an alternative investment amid concern that physical consumption is faltering.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH:  

Official Cash Rate, RBNZ Rate Statement, Trade Balance, HSBC Flash Manufacturing PMI, French Flash Manufacturing PMI, German Flash Manufacturing PMI, Retail Sales m/m, Unemployment Claims, Flash Manufacturing PMI, New Home Sales, Natural Gas Storage.

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