COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 01 AUGUST 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: London copper eased on Friday after a rout on Wall Street over Argentinian default soured risk appetite and ahead of a deluge of economic indicators out later in the session, including an assessment of activity in China's vast manufacturing sector.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate fell for a fifth day after capping the biggest monthly decline in more than two years amid signs of weaker fuel demand in the U.S., the world’s biggest oil consumer. Brent was steady in London.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold headed for a third weekly loss in the longest run of declines since September as U.S. employment data may add to signs that the world’s largest economy is gaining traction.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Manufacturing PMI, PPI q/q, HSBC Final Manufacturing PMI, BOJ Gov Kuroda Speaks, Manufacturing PMI, Non-Farm Employment Change, Unemployment Rate, Average Hourly Earnings m/m, Core PCE Price Index m/m, Personal Spending m/m, Personal Income m/m, Final Manufacturing PMI, Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment, Revised UoM Inflation Expectations, ISM Manufacturing PMI, Construction Spending m/m, ISM Manufacturing Prices, Total Vehicle Sales.

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Markets may open lower on weak global cues

Markets are likely to open in the negative territory tracking    weak global cues.

Asian shares stumbled on Friday after a month-end swoon on Wall Street, though some were hoping China would offer better news on manufacturing and help steady investor sentiment.

The U.S. S&P500 stock index posted its worst daily fall since April and its first monthly drop since January on Thursday, as economic data sparked concern the Federal Reserve could raise interest rates sooner than some have expected.

 

Problems in overseas economies added to the bearish tone, with Argentina defaulting on its debt for the second time in 12 years.

Stocks to watch:

Maruti Suzuki  India, the country’s largest car maker, reported a 20.7 per cent increase in net profit at Rs 762 crore for the financial year’s first quarter ended June.

 

JSW Steel, India’s third-largest steel maker, plans to invest $22 billion (about Rs 1,32,000 crore) through the next 10 years to raise its total capacity from 14.3 million tonnes (mt) to 40 mt by 2025.

 

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Weak global cues drag Sensex lower by 150 pts

Markets started the August series on a negative note with the Sensex down over 150 points owing to weak global cues. Selling pressure was visible across the sectors.

At 0920 hrs, the Sensex was down 159 points at 25,736 and the Nifty was down 55 points at 7,666.

The broader markets were no exception to the trend. The mid and smallcap indices dropped 0.7% in opening trades.

Sectors & Stocks

Power, Realty and capital Goods indices down 1% each were the major sectoral losers.

IT, Auto, Consumer Durables, Oil & Gas and Bankex indices slipped a little over 0.5% each.

Only six of the 30 stocks were in green on the Sensex.

Bharti Airtel up 2.5% continued its uptrend on reports that the company will sell more infrastructure in Africa. This is to reduce debt and cut capital expenditure on passive infrastructure.

Tata Motors, Maruti Suzuki, Cipla, Coal India and Hero MotoCorp up 0.2-0.7% rounded off the gainers list.

The market breadth was weak on the BSE. 906 stocks declined while 483 stocks advanced.

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CS PERFORMANCE MESSAGE: 31 July 2014

STOCK FUTURES:

FUTURES INTRADAY:

ARVIND LTD FUTURE SELL CALL 3TGT

UPL LTD FUTURE BUY CALL 3TGT

IRB INFRA FUTURE BUY CALL 2TGT

HCL TECH FUTURE SELL CALL 1TGT

NTPC FUTURE SELL CALL COST EXIT

MARUTI FUTURE SELL CALL COST EXIT

PREMIUM FUTURES:

NIFTY FUTURES:

NIFTY FUTURES SELL CALL 2TGT

OPTION:

DABUR INDIA 200 CALL BUY CALL 3 TG

AUROBINDO PHARMA 680 CALL 1TGT

CIPLA 450 CALL BUY CALL 1TGT

OPTION PREMIUM:

STOCK CASH:

STOCK CASH INTRADAY:

SUN TV BUY CALL 3 TG

INDOCO REMEDIES BUY CALL 3TGT

ABAN OFFSHORE BUY CALL 2TGT.

STOCK CASH PREMIUM:

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COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 31 JULY 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: London copper was underpinned on Thursday by indications that the U.S. Federal Reserve is not hurrying to raise interest rates, even as the world's top economy logged robust second quarter growth that brightened the outlook for demand.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate crude dropped to a two-week low after a government report showed that U.S. gasoline supplies gained as demand slipped.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold retreated for a fourth day to head for a monthly decline as further signs that the U.S. recovery is gaining momentum strengthened the case for higher borrowing costs in the world’s largest economy.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Building Approvals m/m, CPI Flash Estimate y/y, Challenger Job Cuts y/y, GDP m/m, Unemployment Claims, Employment Cost Index q/q, Chicago PMI, Natural Gas Storage.

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Markets open flat; Axis Bank, Hindalco dip 1%

Sensex is down 13 points at 26,074 and the Nifty has lost 11 points to trade at 7,779.

Benchmark indices have opened flat with a negative bias on caution ahead of the expiry of July derivative contracts due later in the day.

 

At 9.15 hrs, the Sensex is down 13 points at 26,074 and the Nifty has lost 11 points to trade at 7,779.

 

The broader markets are trading in line with the benchmark indices. Both the mid and smallcap indices are up 0.2% each.

 

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq ended higher on Wednesday after the Federal Reserve gave a rosier assessment of the U.S. economy while reaffirming that it is in no hurry to raise interest rates.

 

The U.S. central bank also, as expected, reduced its monthly asset purchases to $25 billion from $35 billion.

 

The Dow Jones industrial average .DJI fell 31.75 points, or 0.19 percent, to 16,880.36, the S&P 500 .SPX gained 0.12 points, or 0.01 percent, to 1,970.07, and the Nasdaq Composite .IXICadded 20.20 points, or 0.45 percent, to 4,462.90. The S&P 500 had traded lower ahead of the Fed announcement.

 

Asian markets are trading firm on Thursday following robust US economic data and as investors braced for Argentina to default on its debt for the second time in twelve years.

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COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 30 JULY 2014

BASE METAL WRAP:  

Copper prices slipped on Tuesday, as prospects of growing supplies overshadowed encouraging signs of health in the global economy, and zinc retreated after hovering near three-year highs on expectations of a tightening market.

ENERGY WRAP: 

West Texas Intermediate crude traded near the lowest price in two weeks before government data that may signal the strength of fuel consumption in the U.S., the world’s biggest oil user. Brent fell in London.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: 

Gold traded near the lowest level this week and was poised for a monthly decline as signs that U.S. economic growth is gaining momentum countered haven demand from increased tension in Ukraine and Gaza.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: 

German Prelim CPI m/m, ADP Non-Farm Employment Change, Advance GDP q/q, Advance GDP Price Index q/q, Crude Oil Inventories, FOMC Statement, Federal Funds Rate.

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Markets open flat; L&T down over 6%

ITC, Bharti Airtel, Infosys and Reliance Industries among the top gainers

After opening in red, the benchmark indices moved into the green territory on account of gains in heavyweights like ITC, Bharti Airtel, Infosys and Reliance Industries.

At 0920 hrs, the Sensex was up nine points at 25,999 and the Nifty was unchanged at 7749.

The broader markets were flat with a positive bias.

Sectors & Stocks

On the sectoral front, Capital Goods index was the top loser down 4% along with Realty and Metal indices down 0.4% each.
A 6% cut on L&T dragged the capital goods index lower as the performance of engineering and construction major’s core business in the June quarter disappointed the Street, as execution remained weak in the domestic business.
Apart from L&T, Sesa Sterlite, Hindustan Unilever, Tata Steel, BHEL, Maruti Suzuki and Sun Pharma were some of the notable names in red, down 0.2-2%.
Among the gainers was Bharti Airtel up 4% after reporting 61% year-on-year jump in consolidated net profit at Rs 1,108 crore for the first quarter.

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CS PERFORMANCE MESSAGE:

STOCK FUTURES:

FUTURES INTRADAY:

TATA MOTORS DVR FUTURE SELL CALL 3TGT

CESC FUTURE SELL CALL 3TGT

DLF FUTURE SELL CALL 3TGT

PFC FUTURE SELL CALL 1TGT

HUL FUTURES BUY CALL 1TGT

SUN TV FUTURES SELL CALL 1TGT

PNB FUTURES BUY CALL BOOKED AT 951

HCL TECH FUTURE BUY CALL COST EXIT

HAVELLS INDIA FUTURE SELL CALL SL TRIGRRED

PREMIUM FUTURES:

TATA MOTORS DVR FUTURE SELL CALL 3TGT

NIFTY FUTURES:

BANK NIFTY FUTURES SELL CALL 2 TG

NIFTY FUTURES SELL CALL 1 TG

OPTION:

DLF 200 PUT BUY CALL 3 TG

TCS 2500 CALL BUY CALL 1 TG

OPTION PREMIUM:

STOCK CASH:

STOCK CASH INTRADAY:

ARVIND LTD SELL CALL 3 TG

GRANULES INDIA SELL CALL 2TGT

STOCK CASH PREMIUM:

GLENMARK PHARMA BUY CALL 1TGT

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Commodity market with free Mcx Tips

Commodity market is being divided into two major groups; they are differentiated on the basis of the mode of trading that is the physical trading where the metals are actually bought and sold and are also immediately being delivered. Whereas the other group is the derivative trading where the products are being traded in the future contracts, where the date of delivery is decided upon for a future date.
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COMMODITY MARKET OUTLOOK 28 JULY 2014

 Agri Commodity Market

CS CHANA (AUGUST) OVERVIEW:
TREND  CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:2795
SUP2:2740
RESIST1:2900
RESIST2:2926
TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE
WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000

CS JEERA (AUGUST) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:11250
SUP2:11000
RESIST1:11620
RESIST2:11780
TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE
WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000

CS TURMERIC (AUGUST) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:6420
SUP2:6316
RESIST1:6600
RESIST2:6700
TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000

CS SOYABEAN (OCTOBER) OVERVIEW:
TREND  CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:3660
SUP2:3600
RESIST1:3750
RESIST2:3860
TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE
WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000

bullion Commodity market

CS COPPER (AUG) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:430
SUP2:425       
RESIST1:437
RESIST2:440
TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000

CS CRUDE (AUGUST) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:6090
SUP2:6010
RESIST1:6230
RESIST2:6300
TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE
WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000

CS GOLD (AUG) OVERVIEW:   
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:27550
SUP2:27300
RESIST1:28100
RESIST2:28400
TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000

CS SILVER (SEPTEMBER) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:43600
SUP2:42900   
RESIST1:44800
RESIST2:45300
TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE
WWW.CAPITALSTARS.COM +917316790000

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COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 28 JULY 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: 

Copper dropped for a second day after Freeport-McMoRan Inc. received approval from Indonesia to resume exports from its Grasberg mine.

ENERGY WRAP: 

West Texas Intermediate crude fell for the fourth time in five days amid speculation that economic data may signal slowing growth in the U.S., the world’s biggest oil consumer. Brent also dropped in London.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: 

Hedge funds increased their bets on a gold rally, just before prices fell for a second week as an accelerating U.S. economy outweighed concern that violence between Russia and Ukraine will escalate.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: 

Flash Services PMI, Pending Home Sales m/m.

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INDIAN BENCHMARKS snap 8 day rally… Nifty below 7800.

INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARKS fell after hitting a record high for a third straight day as investors booked profits after majority of the quarterly earnings announced by corporate Inc disappointed.
•    Further, Colgate Palmolive India Ltd has announced results for the quarter ended June 30, 2014 net profit down 27.16% at Rs134.91 crore vs Rs185.22 crore YoY. Total Income up 9.86% at Rs963.35 crore vs Rs876.81 crore YoY.
•    The government plans to sell a 5% stake in state-run Steel Authority of India Ltd (SAIL) this fiscal year ending March.

The crucial resistance for Nifty is now seen at 7850 and above this 7880. Support for the immediate term is now placed at 7750 and next support will be 7700.

   NEWS TO WATCH:

•    Watch out Quarterly Earnings of Bank of Baroda, Dabur India, L&T, HUL, Havells India, UPL on 28TH July 2014.

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Take a free Trial for intraday as well as positional calls in stock cash and gain a profit in stock and commodity market. We provide 2 days Free trial to our client for stock tips and commodity tips. Fill the free Trial form and start earning in your trading.

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TOP CORPORATE NEWS 25 July 2014

• PNB Q1 profit beats forecast, up 10% but asset quality weak

Punjab National Bank net profit jumped 10.2 percent on yearly basis to Rs 1,405 crore on account of fall in provisions but decline in other income limited the profitability .The asset quality worsened during April-June quarter of current financial year 2014-15. The bank reported growth in profit for the first time in last four quarters.

• Shriram Transport Finance Q1 PAT drops 10% to Rs 306 cr

Shriram Transport Finance Corporation April-June quarter (Q1FY15) net profit declined by 10 percent to Rs 306 crore from Rs 341 crore in corresponding quarter of last fiscal. However, total income was up by 6 percent to Rs 2,015.8 crore from Rs 1,891.3 crore, Y-o-Y.

• UCO Bank Q1 profit up 2%, other income falls significantly

UCO Bank has reported a net profit of Rs 520 crore in the first quarter (April-June) of current financial year, increased marginally (1.7 percent) compared to Rs 511 crore in same quarter last year on account of significant fall in other income that was the reason behind fall in share price.

• Allahabad Bank Q1 net profit tanks 73% but NII rises 23%

Allahabad Bank reported a 72.7 percent decline in net profit at Rs 112.7 crore in April-June quarter (Q1FY15) compared to Rs 413 crore in same quarter last year on account of higher provisions, tax cost and fall in other income but net interest income growth was very strong.

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