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Sunday 31 August 2014

COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 01 SEPTEMBER 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: COPPER futures ended higher on Friday while aluminium closed at an 18-month high as upbeat US economic data fanned hopes of stronger demand for industrial metals.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate crude capped the first weekly gain in more than a month on speculation an improving U.S. economy will boost fuel demand.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Hedge funds cut their bullish gold bets for the fourth week in five, sending holdings to a two-month low, U.S. government data show. Open interest in New York futures is the smallest in five years, and assets in global exchange-traded products backed by the metal in August posted the biggest monthly drop since May.
           
GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Manufacturing PMI, HSBC Final Manufacturing PMI, Manufacturing PMI.

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INDIAN BENCHMARK open to record high, big boost

INDIAN BENCHMARK open to record high, big boost comes from GDP numbers which were out on Friday. GDP grew fastest in over two years at 5.7% in the first quarter of FY15. The Supreme Court will today decide what to do with captive coal blocks, having deemed more than 200 allocations made since 1993 to be illegal.

FURTHER, Wockhardt Ltd has received Qualified Infectious Disease Product status from the US FDA for two of its drugs, WCK 771 and WCK 2349. Reliance Industries reportedly said it has returned nearly 1,384 acres of land in Gurgaon that was acquired for its SEZ.

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net buyers of Rs 192cr in the cash segment on Thursday while the DIIs were net sellers of Rs. 730cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

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Thursday 28 August 2014

INDIAN BENCHMARKS ends August series with modest gains


INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARKS ended with amid volatility as monthly derivative contracts expired today and investors eyed GDP April-June quarter data scheduled for release tomorrow.

•    Shares in NHPC Ltd surged as much as 6.4 per cent as Traders focus could shift to hydro power as an alternative to coal in electricity generation.

•    Further, SKS Microfinance Ltd's shares rose 2.2 percent after Morgan Stanley initiated coverage with an overweight rating saying India's microfinance industry has $90 billion demand potential.

The crucial resistance for Nifty is now seen at 7970 and above this 8010. Support for the immediate term is now placed at 7940 and next support will be 7910.

TOP CORPORATE NEWS 28 August 2014


•    Tata Motors enters Algeria with a range of passenger cars

Tata Motors in association with SPA Elsecom has setup dealerships at Algiers and Oran, with further plans underway to establish 10 additional sales and service centers, to cover important regions, by the end of this year.

•    RIL to save $450 mn/yr by importing ethane from US

Reliance Industries will save about USD 450 million annually by importing 1.5 million tons ethane from US for its petrochemical plant. Imported Ethane will substitute its current propane imports and a portion of naphtha used for ethylene production.

•    Adani buys Australia coal mine royalty rights from Linc

Adani Enterprises has agreed to pay Australian dollar 155 million (USD 145 million) to Linc Energy to buy out the Australian firm's rights to future royalties from Adani's huge.

•    Tata Comm up on reports of foreign brokerage

Shares of Tata Communications gained over 4%, touching, on reports that a foreign brokerage has re-initiated coverage on the stock with a buy rating. The company is back on growth and profitability track and its core business turnaround will be led by enterprise data.



COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 28 August 2014


BASE METAL WRAP: Copper traded near the lowest in almost a week after China reported industrial profit growth slowed and before economic expansion data today from the U.S.

ENERGY WRAP: Gasoline fell after a government report showed U.S. output rose before the Labor Day holiday that marks the end of the country’s peak-demand driving season. West Texas Intermediate crude settled little changed.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold futures dropped for the second time in three days on signs of waning investor demand for the metal as an alternative asset.
                                             
GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Private Capital Expenditure q/q, German Prelim CPI m/m, Prelim GDP q/q, Unemployment Claims, Prelim GDP Price Index q/q, Pending Home Sales m/m, Natural Gas Storage.


MORNING MAIL 28 August 2014

INDIAN BENCHMARK open marginally higher amid firm global cues. Further, markets are likely to remain volatile in the latter half of the trading session with expiry of August derivative contracts today.

FURTHER, Piramal Enterprises is rejigging its research and development activities with a focus on molecules that are at an advanced stage of development. DLF will continue to be under pressure after the Supreme Court on Wednesday directed DLF to deposit Rs 630 crore in the registry within three months.

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net buyers of Rs 192cr in the cash segment on Wednesday while the DIIs were net sellers of Rs. 236cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.


Wednesday 27 August 2014

INDIAN BENCHMARKS mark record closing high ahead of F&O expiry

INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARKS ended with gains for the second consecutive trading session ahead of the F&O expiry tomorrow. Sentiment was on the positive side as the ongoing geopolitical tension in Israel, which was a major cause for concern seems to be finally ending as Hamas and Israel agreed to an open-ended cease-fire.

•    DLF fell 4.6 percent on Supreme Court order asking company to pay Rs 630 crore fine within three months.

•    Further, HDFC Bank declined 0.7 percent on the matter related to increase in FII investment limit may not be taken up by Foreign Investment Promotion Board in its meeting scheduled on August 29.

The crucial resistance for Nifty is now seen at 7945 and above this 7970. Support for the immediate term is now placed at 7915 and next support will be 7860.

TOP CORPORATE NEWS 27 AUGUST 2014

•    UCO Bank stock slips 8%

Shares of UCO Bank slipped 8% after report that the government ordered limited forensic audit into some non-performing accounts of the Bank to find out any irregularities in sanction of loans.

•    Tech Mahindra in talks to acquire more companies


Tech Mahindra is talks to acquire firms to further enhance its geographical reach competence in order to reach its goal of $5 billion by CY2015.

•    Hero Moto Corp aims to sell 12 million units by 2020

Hero Moto Corp management has set a target of 12million unit sales by the year 2020 and also reiterated its target to derive 10% of the volumes from exports. The company had sold 6.2 million units in FY 2014.

•    Tata Global plans to give thrust to its water business

Tata Global Beverages is planning to give a thrust to its water business with a goal to take the segment's contribution to company's revenues to 10% from 1% currently positive in long run, no near term addition to earnings.

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Tuesday 26 August 2014

COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 27 August 2014


BASE METAL WRAP: Aluminium traded near an 18-month high on speculation demand is rising amid signs a recovery is gathering pace in the U.S. and before data forecast to show the country’s economy expanded for the second quarter.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate traded near a three-day high before a government report forecast to show crude stockpiles dropped for a second week in the U.S., the world’s biggest oil consumer. Brent was steady in London.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold held below $1,300 an ounce as investors weighed a strengthening U.S. economy and dollar against signs of easing tensions around the world.
                                             
GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Crude Oil Inventories.

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MORNING MAIL 27 August 2014


INDIAN BENCHMARK open on a bullish note tracking a firm trend across markets in Asia after reports from US indicated that the world’s largest economy is strengthening.

FURTHER, Shares of defence equipment makers rose after the government notifies increase in FDI limit to 49% through approval route in the defence sector. ONGC rose over 2%, on hopes of reforms on subsidies and gas prices ahead of ONGC's share sale.

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net buyers of Rs 192cr in the cash segment on Tuesday while the DIIs were net sellers of Rs. 259cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

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INDIAN BENCHMARKS continues retreat from record high

INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARKS ended flat, amid a volatile trading session, even metal stocks rebounded while power stocks extended losses after the apex court's verdict on coal block allocations.
·         Tata Power fell another 2.8 percent on the Supreme Court’s order that stayed an interim order of the Appellate Tribunal for Electricity (APTEL) to allow payment of compensatory tariffs.
·         Further, Oil and Natural Gas Corp ended down 2.5 percent on equity dilution concerns due to a potential share sale by the government.

The crucial resistance for Nifty is now seen at 7915 and above this 7970. Support for the immediate term is now placed at 7855 and next support will be 7780

TOP CORPORATE NEWS 26 August 2014

·        ONGC slumps on reports of disinvestment

ONGC fell nearly 4%, on reports of disinvestment. Government has decided to disinvest 5% stake in the company via offer for sale mechanism. The procedure of disinvestment is expected to be completed by the end of the month of September.

·        Havells India rises after stock split

Havells India jumped over 12% and after stock split. Havells India split each equity share of face value Rs5 each into five equity shares of Re1 each., with trading starting as of today, (August 26, 2014).

·        Reliance Power opts out of gas-fired power plant in Dadri

Reliance Power told the Supreme Court that it wasn't interested in setting up gas-fired power plant in Dadri, Uttar Pradesh, any more and would return about 956 acres of land acquired for the company to the state government.

·        L&T signs contract for 225 Mw


Bangladesh Power Development Board and Larsen & Toubro (L&T) have signed a contract to set up a 225 megawatt, gas-based power plant in sikalbaha, Chittagong in Bangladesh. The contract, which is valued at about $200 million, was secured by L&T in May, 2014.

TOP CORPORATE NEWS 26 August 2014

·        ONGC slumps on reports of disinvestment

ONGC fell nearly 4%, on reports of disinvestment. Government has decided to disinvest 5% stake in the company via offer for sale mechanism. The procedure of disinvestment is expected to be completed by the end of the month of September.

·        Havells India rises after stock split

Havells India jumped over 12% and after stock split. Havells India split each equity share of face value Rs5 each into five equity shares of Re1 each., with trading starting as of today, (August 26, 2014).

·        Reliance Power opts out of gas-fired power plant in Dadri

Reliance Power told the Supreme Court that it wasn't interested in setting up gas-fired power plant in Dadri, Uttar Pradesh, any more and would return about 956 acres of land acquired for the company to the state government.

·        L&T signs contract for 225 Mw


Bangladesh Power Development Board and Larsen & Toubro (L&T) have signed a contract to set up a 225 megawatt, gas-based power plant in sikalbaha, Chittagong in Bangladesh. The contract, which is valued at about $200 million, was secured by L&T in May, 2014.

Monday 25 August 2014

COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 26 August 2014

BASE METAL WRAP: Aluminium in London climbed for a second day following Alcoa Inc.’s decision to close a smelter in Italy and before durable goods orders data from the U.S., the second-largest consumer of industrial metals.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate traded near the lowest price in seven months before supply data that will signal the strength of fuel demand in the U.S, the world’s biggest oil consumer. Brent was steady in London.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold held losses near a two-month low on speculation that the U.S. Federal Reserve will raise borrowing costs next year, strengthening the dollar and damping demand for an alternative investment.
                                             

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCHTrade Balance, CB Leading Index m/m, Core Durable Goods Orders m/m, Durable Goods Orders m/m, HPI m/m, S&P/CS Composite-20 HPI y/y, CB Consumer Confidence, Richmond Manufacturing Index.

INDIAN BENCHMARK opened lower

INDIAN BENCHMARK opened lower following consistent nervousness due to Supreme Court order on coal block allocation case.

FURTHER, Auro Life Pharma LLC, subsidiary of Aurobindo Pharma has got tentative approval from USFDA for anti-allergy drug fexofenadine hydrochloride 30 mg. Torrent Pharma has secured an exemption from price control for one of its newly developed fixed dose combination products.


Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net buyers of Rs 192cr in the cash segment on Monday while the DIIs were net sellers of Rs. 45cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

INDIAN BENCHMARKS down …Late trade sell-off on SC order


INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARKS hit fresh record highs early today ended flat amid selling pressure in metal and power stocks after the Supreme Court said that guidelines were breached in coal block allocations during the UPA government and that the terms of allotment, going as far back as 1993, were themselves illegal.
·         Alstom T&D gained 5.5 percent on joint venture bagging order worth Rs 3,250 crore.
·         Further, Lakshmi Vilas Bank has announced that the Bank opened its Rights Issue for an amount of Rs409.79 crores on August 08, 2014. The issue remained open for 15 days and closed on August 22, 2014.

The crucial resistance for Nifty is now seen at 7970 and above this 7995. Support for the immediate term is now placed at 7895 and next support will be 7855.

TOP CORPORATE NEWS 25 August 2014


·        Supreme Court says coal block allocations post 1993 illegal

Supreme Court has pronounced the terms under which coal blocks were allocated post 1993 as illegal but stopped short of deallocating the blocks. The conseqence of illegality will be determined on September 1, 2014. The apex court observed that the issue of de-allocation will need further hearing, but barred UMPPs from exploiting captive mines.

·        GAIL to restart work on Rs 10,000-cr Energy Highway

GAIL India said work was set to start on the 2,050-km Jagdishpur-Phulpur-Haldia natural gas pipeline, which will serve as the Energy Highway for West Bengal, Bihar, Jharkhand and Uttar Pradesh.

·        Adani Group plans 2,500 MW rejected coal based power plant

Adani Group is close to signing up a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) with the Odisha government to set up 2,500 MW of rejected coal based power plant in Angul district. The proposed investment is Rs 12,500 crore, as divulged by the company's senior management.

·        Ranbaxy faces Rs 242 crore US fine

Shares of Ranbaxy Laboratories was up 2% on reports that company may have to pay Rs 242 crore fine, imposed by the State of Texas.

Sunday 24 August 2014

COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 25 AUGUST 2014


BASE METAL WRAP:  
Copper in Shanghai swung between gains and losses near the highest in almost four weeks after stockpiles fell the most since May and before housing data in the U.S., the second-biggest consumer of industrial metals.

ENERGY WRAP
Brent fell for a second day amid speculation that Middle East crude supplies will remain safe amid turmoil across the region. West Texas Intermediate was steady after a technical issue disrupted electronic trading.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: 
Investors are exiting the gold market on speculation that signs of sustained U.S. economic growth will push the Federal Reserve closer to raising interest rates, cutting demand for bullion as an inflation hedge.
                                             
GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH:  
German Ifo Business Climate, Flash Services PMI, New Home Sales.

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MORNING MAIL TODAY open trading session on a positive note.


INDIAN BENCHMARK open trading session on a positive note with Nifty touching fresh record high despite mixed global cues.

FURTHER, Shares of Ranbaxy Laboratories rose nearly 2%, on reports that UBS has maintained buy rating on the stock with a target price of Rs784 per share. Adani Group plans to sign a pact (MoU) with the Odisha government soon for setting up of a 2,500 Mw rejected coal based power plant in Angul district.

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net buyers of Rs 192cr in the cash segment on Friday while the DIIs were net sellers of Rs. 183cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

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Friday 22 August 2014

COMMODITY MARKET STRATEGY 22 AUGUST 2014


BASE METAL WRAP: Aluminium buyers in Japan, Asia’s largest importer, are set to agree on a record quarterly fee after lower output from Brazil deepened a global deficit, said three executives who will start negotiations next week. Copper in London rose to a two-week high, heading for the first weekly advance in a month on stronger-than-expected U.S. homes sales and before a speech by Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate crude headed for a fifth weekly decline, the longest losing streak in nine months, amid rising U.S. fuel supplies and signs of a slowing economy in China. Brent was steady in London.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold traded near a two-month low on speculation that U.S. interest rates are set to increase as investors awaited remarks from Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen at a meeting of central bankers. Silver headed for a sixth week of losses in the longest slump in more than a yea

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Core CPI m/m, Core Retail Sales m/m, Fed Chair Yellen Speaks, Jackson Hole Symposium.

Bullions Commodity Market Strategy 22ND AUGUST 2014
CS COPPER (AUG) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:421
SUP2:415                   
RESIST1:429
RESIST2:433
TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
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CS CRUDE (SEPTEMBER) OVERVIEW:
TREND BEARISH
SUP1:5640
SUP2:5550
RESIST1:5770
RESIST2:5850
TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE
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CS GOLD (OCTOBER) OVERVIEW:                               
TREND BEARISH
SUP1:27600
SUP2:27350
RESIST1:27950
RESIST2:28150
TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE
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CS SILVER (SEPTEMBER) OVERVIEW:
TREND  CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:41750
SUP2:41300                     
RESIST1:42500
RESIST2:42800
TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
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Agri Commodity Market Strategy 22ND AUGUST 2014
CS CHANA (SEPTEMBER)) OVERVIEW:
TREND  CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:2900                                                         
SUP2:2870                    
RESIST1:3000
RESIST2:3020
TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE
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CS JEERA (SEPTEMBER) OVERVIEW:
TREND CONSOLIDATE
SUP1:11150
SUP2:10920
RESIST1:11450
RESIST2:11500
TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE
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CS TURMERIC (SEPTEMBER) OVERVIEW:
TREND BULLISH
SUP1:6450
SUP2:6310
RESIST1:6670
RESIST2:6780
TRADING STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
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CS SOYABEAN (OCTOBER) OVERVIEW:
TREND  BEARISH
SUP1:3350
SUP2:3260
RESIST1:3490
RESIST2:3550
TRADING STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE
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Thursday 21 August 2014

INDIAN BENCHMARKS closes marginally higher… PSU banks gains


INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARKS 
ended marginally higher led by gains in bank shares after Finance Minister Arun Jaitley today said that the government was working towards bringing in more professionalism in the functioning of banks and improving risk management, amid the backdrop of the recent scams in some public sector banks.


·         Shares of Dr. Reddy's Laboratories ended lower by 1.5% after report stated that the company was in talks with a US regulator over allegations it violated packaging rules for some prescription drugs sold there between 2008 and 2012.

·         Further, Zee Entertainment rose over a percent as it is all set to replace United Spirits in CNX Nifty with effect from the September 19.

The crucial resistance for Nifty is now seen at 7920 and above this 7945. Support for the immediate term is now placed at 7855 and next support will be 7780.